It seems that old Gustav has decided to skip the whole “tropical storm” thing and go straight for Hurricane status. He also has decided, it seems, not to visit key west. More importantly, Gustav is forecasted to become a major hurricane (read: category 3+). The water is warm and apparently there is very little shear. Right now, Gustav looks to be heading South of Cuba but that just means that he will end up in the middle of the gulf’s warm deep waters.
It may be too early to say it but Louisiana should start thinking about getting ready. Even though, historically, no hurricane in the month of August that was close to where Gustav is has ever hit Louisiana doesn’t mean that Gustav can’t do it now (but it is still an interesting fact and well worth keeping in mind). The GFDL, UKMET, and NAM all have Gustav heading toward that coast (the NOGAPS has him heading for the Yucatan). Still, it is a long way off; Gustav won’t threaten the US until next week.
The Gulf coast likely isn’t going to like Gustav. Everybody should keep their eyes on this one.
And, New Orleans will go Ape Shit if this heads their way. Seriously, folks haven’t had a chance to calm down yet from Katrina.
Still heading in Louisiana’s direction. I hear that Mississippians are already freaking out over the storm. Awesome!